Canada faces significant demographic shifts over the next five decades, as projected by Statistics Canada. By 2073, Canada’s population could grow to between 47.1 million and 87.2 million people, depending on various scenarios outlined in the recent report.
These projections emphasize the critical role of immigration in driving population growth, especially as natural population increase (births minus deaths) plays a diminishing role.
Immigration has been pivotal in maintaining Canada’s population momentum since the 1990s, contributing substantially to economic growth and offsetting demographic challenges such as an aging workforce and declining birth rates. The report underscores that immigration will continue to be a cornerstone of Canada’s strategy to sustain economic vitality and meet labor market demands.
The demographic landscape is set to change significantly, with the proportion of Canadians aged 65 and older projected to rise from 18.9% in 2023 to potentially between 21.9% and 32.3% by 2073. This demographic shift highlights the increasing demand for healthcare services and elder care infrastructure, posing challenges and opportunities for policy makers to enhance healthcare capacity and innovation.
Provincially, the population trends show varying dynamics, with eastern provinces like Newfoundland and Labrador, Nova Scotia, New Brunswick, and Quebec expected to experience population declines, while western provinces such as Saskatchewan, Alberta, and British Columbia are anticipated to see growth. Ontario and Quebec will remain the most populous provinces throughout the projection period.
These demographic projections have far-reaching implications for Canada’s social and economic policies. Addressing the needs of an aging population will require strategic investments in healthcare, long-term care facilities, and elder-friendly infrastructure.
Moreover, adapting immigration policies to attract skilled workers and encourage settlement in less populous regions will be crucial for maintaining regional economic balance and ensuring sustainable growth across the country.
The Statistics Canada projections serve as a vital tool for policymakers to anticipate and plan for future demographic shifts. By leveraging immigration as a strategic asset, Canada can navigate the challenges posed by an aging population while fostering economic growth and social cohesion nationwide.