Big Changes to PNPs in 2025: Canada’s 2025 Immigration Plan
Discover how reduced immigration targets for 2025 impact Provincial Nominee Programs, labor markets, and regional economic immigration across Canada.
Canada’s Provincial Nominee Programs (PNPs) are facing significant adjustments in 2025 due to substantial reductions in provincial immigration targets. This decision has left several provincial immigration programs grappling with lower allocations than anticipated, creating potential delays for newcomers seeking entry through these pathways.
Key highlights include:
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Manitoba and Newfoundland and Labrador expressing concerns over reduced allocations.
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Northwest Territories Provincial Nominee Program (NTNP) delaying its re-opening, initially scheduled for January 16, 2025, with plans to accept 100 applications.
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New Brunswick Provincial Nominee Program (NBPNP) revising its 2025 economic immigration programs in response to broader changes in Canada’s immigration framework.
As of now, provincial immigration activity remains limited, with only Manitoba conducting a draw in 2025. Many provinces have paused their nomination activities, further contributing to uncertainties for potential applicants.
The annual Immigration Levels Plan, announced each October, sets the framework for immigration targets. For 2025, the federal government has halved the admissions allocations for PNPs compared to 2024. The figures below illustrate the impact:
| Year | Projected Provincial Immigration Targets | Actual Provincial Immigration Targets |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 110,000 | 110,000 |
| 2025 | 120,000 | 55,000 |
| 2026 | - | 55,000 |
Key Definitions:
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Admissions: Refers to the finalization of permanent residency status during an interview with an immigration officer. This step, often referred to as “landing,” marks the completion of the immigration process.
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Invitations to Apply (ITAs): Invitations issued to candidates to apply for permanent residency under various immigration programs.
To mitigate the impact of reduced provincial targets, Immigration, Refugees, and Citizenship Canada (IRCC) introduced the In-Canada Focus category. This initiative prioritizes:
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Candidates under the Canadian Experience Class (CEC) program.
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Enhanced PNP applicants managed through Express Entry.
The In-Canada Focus category has been allocated 82,890 admissions for 2025. While this measure provides some relief, it is unlikely to fully address the shortfall created by the reduced provincial targets.
Implications for Provinces
Provincial governments must adapt to the reduced immigration levels dictated by federal decisions. This shift is expected to:
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Exacerbate labour shortages in critical sectors.
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Limit the ability of provinces to address specific regional economic needs.
Despite these challenges, provinces continue to advocate for increased flexibility and allocations to support their local economies and communities.
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